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Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections (eBook) von Winfried Schröder

Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
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A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
Mehr Titel von Winfried Schröder
Springer International Publishing
 eBook
Sofort lieferbar | Lieferzeit: Sofort lieferbar

53,49 €* eBook

ISBN-13:
9783319038230
Veröffentl:
2013
Einband:
eBook
Seiten:
58
Autor:
Winfried Schröder
Serie:
SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
eBook Format:
PDF
eBook-Typ:
Reflowable eBook
Kopierschutz:
Digital Watermark [Social-DRM]
Sprache:
Englisch
Systemvoraussetzungen
Kurzbeschreibung

This volume on a high-profile modern issue presents a sophisticated, integrated risk assessment approach to modeling the potential return of malaria to Germany, which could be triggered by the higher temperatures resulting from global climate change.

Inhaltsverzeichnis
1. Background and Goals.- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony.- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany.- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.
Beschreibung
This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.

 

Schlagwörter zu:

Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections von Winfried Schröder - mit der ISBN: 9783319038230

Anopheles atroparvus; Plasmodium vivax; basic reproduction rate; climate change; climate change impacts; risk mapping by GIS; vector-borne diseases; B; Environmental Sciences; Parasitology; Climate Sciences; Biogeosciences; Epidemiology; Earth and Environmental Science, Online-Buchhandlung

 

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